GeopoliticsMarkets
Will Russia enter Borova by...?
June 3012%
December 31<1%
March 31<1%
April 30<1%
$220,982 Vol.
May 31, 2026
June 30$5K Vol.12%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Borova (49.37457173620971, 37.62233412539868) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of Borova is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Holy free money. They have to advance like 5 miles in an area where they are barely attacking and losing ground?
told yall
@telum what happened bro?
june market
[link removed]
What does this mean?
That some of the footage wasn't recorded in Borova.
Ok officially Borova full captured by Russia. There is a video of some troops in Borova. We waiting the resolving of "enter" Borova event 🧐
Old footage
Is there a confirmed video yet or this jump is not verified by video?
Yes, today they published several videos with geolocation - east part of Borova (Tsentralnaya st.)
Sorry, *east part of course
Can you please send me the video?
Russian defence ministry: Russian troops secure Borova, Kutkivka in eastern Ukraine - RIA 18:04 May 16
MOSCOW, May 16 – RIA Novosti. The Russian “West” military group has liberated Borovaya and Kutkovka in the Kharkiv region, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported. “Units of the ‘West’ military group, as a result of active operations, have liberated the settlements of Borovaya and Kutkovka in the Kharkiv region,” the Russian ministry's report states. [link removed]
No updates for Borova...
Buy "Yes" the Russian army is already close. Please
We need a january market for Borova
Ua maps shows an advance on this front ... isw to follow?
Siberia batallion will free itself from the cancer that is Putin to them. Soon, ruzzoland will split into reasonable and rich Democracy Siberia and putin zuckers in the west.
I wish that would happen.
More war markets then when Russia tries to conquer Siberia again? lol
dream scenario
YES holders fell for Russian fakes again. The General Staff of the Ukrainian army has not confirmed any Russian advances in this direction. So it’s definitely a NO.
careful with the new rules. makes yes much more likely.
what new rules?
russians geolocated 5km from the town and mind you ppl in this market even inflitration does qualify for yes
Does this mean that now any mark on the map, whether yellow, red, or striped, indicating infiltration, qualifies as YES? this is a game changer
yellow no
only red
Yes, exactly. Yes is almost a given now