December 31$4K Vol.
June 30$67K Vol.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Dobropillia by January 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of Dobropillia is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
While Ukraine recaptured the 'breakthrough' villages in December, the pressure is still insane
amateur scam dead on arrival. Better luck next scam
YES holders have been punished for not trusting the leCommissaire
An invasion of idiots 2.0
why you shaking lil bro?
because of ur pnl
370k volume and -600 pnl. show him the money. ahahahahhahaha
bros never heard of delta-neutral trading, I make 7x more at my job than you cheeto eating clown. You've been on here for a year and have a mcdonalds worker wage to show for it. Shame on you
Why do all broke losers like you get butthurt over your PnL and start making up fairy tales about how rich you are?
your retarded self was bring PnL into question and name-calling people playing by the rules. You have hilarious double standards, just put the fries in the bag lil bro
Why are you so angry? Did you have a fight with your boyfriend, or is it your period?
propose yes pls
The proposer needs to be one of the few on the (relatively new) whitelist. And this is the Pokrovsk Dobropillia, no? That's the one that ISW has a whole tactical area map of. Should be clarified though.
The market doesnt specify which one. Dobropillia north of Hulyapole satisfies the conditions as they are written.
Asking on Discord for clarification, but I would advise that you are careful if you intend to rely on this. Not sayign you're wrong, just that I personally wouldn't like to risk money on you being right as far as resolvers are concerned.
I just asked. They provided a clarification.
Ha, ignore me, clarification already added.
Now it's looks like the proposer can manipulate with this market. The rules are clear price drops and the proposer can buy all cheep shares right after propose or buy no shares with every increase in price and later say that it were other Dobropillia. Some shady stuff here
isw and the proposer make most of markets like this shady and uncertain
This should be resolved to yes.
So no one is willing to propose?
All conditions have been satisfied for yes, right?
It says "ANY territory of Dobropillia". If my English is good enough, that means... ANY. If someone will propose, it is hard to deny.
Indeed. But yes holders are apparently poor. We need to find some whale who can push this through.
Yes holders, propose please. it is already captured)
One update left.
Commisaire has already sold everything.
Your bio is so stupid it's actually very funny. I can picture yourself taking brushing your teeth and wiping your ass as a challenge like a real warrior. Douchebag
I like the way you hate me. But I wish you all the best anyway. no cap
nothing personal, I just enjoy trolling in the casino
yeah, that was kinda funny
48.4683035, 37.0903243
The idiot commissar is right. Polymarket should provide a clarification to specify the resolution criteria. It’s obvious that this refers to the city of Dobropillia.
Under the current resolution criteria, it’s obvious that the city in question is in Donetsk Oblast. Polymarket should clarify this to put an end to the disputes.
How is it obvious?
The exact location isn't states, only the name which is the same for both.
captured. byt' dobru
Is it just me, or does everyone understand which city this is about-except broke schoolkids who bought 100 YES shares? I can’t wait for the moment it finally sinks in for them. It’s insanely funny.
Read the rules, everything is there.
wow. 7 shares
The rules clearly describe the market conditions - the Russia captures any territory of Dobropillia.
This really depends if there is a big whale. And the whale pick one side.
sure
you have already started selling :D
I suspect that Dobropillia here refers to Dobropillia in Donetsk, as it was mentioned in the ISW report on December 18th. Anyway, I advise against placing bets, as the vague place name gives market makers room to maneuver.
I bought it a few days ago because Dobropillia in the Zaporizhzhia region turned blue at the end of November after the Ukrainian counterattack.
What does December 18th have to do with it if the market was launched much earlier?
This indicates that Dobropillia in Donetsk is more militarily important than Dobropillia in Zaporizhzhia, so the former is more likely to be the Dobropillia referred to in the title.
This is a controversial statement, since the Zaporizhzhia region is currently the main target for the Russian army.
Market can't work this way. It must precisely state which city is at stake. Currently it applies to both and it should stay that way.
YES holders. Just propose. It's YES. What is the problem?
2 days need read rules
oh. ok
You don't seem to read the rules at all. lol
capture
Why do YES holders keep yapping but don’t buy YES while it’s cheap???
lol, you've already started selling part of your position.
From December 1st until mid-month, Dobropillia in the Zaporizhzhia region was painted blue following a counterattack by the Ukrainian army.
buy more yes
off course
Propose it. It's YES
I suspect that Dobropillia here refers to Dobropillia in Donetsk, as it was mentioned in the ISW report on December 18th.
only the market started earlier
hey. 1 week. u need to propose
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