This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Huliaipole by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of Huliaipole shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. Once Russia captures any of the specified territory, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
God Bless
propose
ty
can anyone ask tsybka to propose this? it has been 48 hours since it was painted
@tsybka
We have noone to propose sadly.
petersnow ai retard can't read the rules, hillarious, write replies with chat gpt
Resolve plz
I don't think anyone is going to resolve it anytime soon.
It will be resolved today.
It can be proposed since 12 hours ago but noone will propose sadly
Notards should keep buying more No
How to be on the whitelist to propose ?
ISW map finalized for the day, can be resolved now
The current 100% price is based on market sentiment and not on real battlefield updates. ISW hasn't shown any red shading inside Huliaipole, and Russian forces are still several kilometers away from the city. This is a clear case of overvaluation due to market manipulation. Be cautious and expect corrections.
you are a retard about to lose 500$ because you didn't read the rules. Infiltration count it doesn't need to be shaded in red, red/orange is sufficient. So the price is rational because the update is finalized.
I feel sorry for you that you cannot read rules. Infiltration count for enter market now and russian infiltration inside Hulyiapole has been finalized for two consecutive days.
Thank you for your comments, but I must clarify the rules once again. According to the market conditions, red shading in ISW map is required to confirm the entry of Russian forces into Huliaipole. While infiltration is a valid military term, it does not meet the official market requirements, as only red shading indicates control in this context. As of today’s ISW update, no red shading has been applied to Huliaipole. The market has overvalued this prediction based on sentiment rather than actual battlefield updates.
How about you read the rules once instead of asking AI or whatever and stop making a fool of yourself while also losing hundreds of dollars. It takes just 1 minute to read the rules. Can you do that and check the map at Hulaiypole once before acting stupid?
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Huliaipole is shaded under a below specified layer... by the resolution date ... the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle ... Any continuous shading which reflects either ***"Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine"***, “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
"Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify."
M8 sell these NOs asap.
Told you to sell...
update is done no ?
Yes.
No, surely? First update was 2 Dec, and it's still showing as that to me.
But the map has been updated.
I don't think we're understanding each other. New rules require 2 finalised updates: "he relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the **next** **full** ISW daily update cycle". First update cycle was 2 Dec, so we're waiting for 3 Dec to finalise.
Yes, but the update is just a formality at this point.
It should be resolved after the next ISW update, why the price is so low
Kind of funny that before map showed infiltration inside Huliaipole, it was at 91% and after map update it has been sitting at 94% for hours.
Accepting infiltration is relatively new, and (speaking for myself) I barely trust ISW not to fuck with assessed control - I really don't trust them to not fuck with infiltrations.
Buy more No
War is Peace
everything depends on isw's flawed map, not worth it.
They entered, but sadly isw will not update, another L
isw edging changes on the map even the deepstate made some red painting 2 days straight towards the city
less than 24h left and there has been barely any change, good luck with that pal
its way more than 24 hours, we still got a whole day and more and even the change can happen lasrt minute and stay there till the next day update which can be in an event of a glich even longer days +
Most likely no, but ISW map red zone is 1100 metres from the city borders, so I feel the chances are higher than 12%
You people are absolutely fcking sick. I wish I could bet on each one of you dying painfully from cancer while your relatives watch. Fcking disgrace of a human race each and every one of you who bet on these things.
Your words are on your shoulders. All your wishes will come back to you, bitch.
Thank you, have a pleasant day too.
I'm sick and if I win I can buy some medicine
So you are gambling your medicine money?
Yes
Pokrovsk is not painted red, and you think that Huliaipole will be painted red in six days? No way ISW will acknowledge this before 30 Nov
Not sure though. ISW have found their red pen, and this isn't a capture market, so it only takes one squiggle.
Well that was prophetic :) .
why dont u buy NO?