GeopoliticsMarkets
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
July 3118%
February 28<1%
March 31<1%
April 30<1%
$402,325 Vol.
May 31, 2026
July 31$3K Vol.18%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) between market creation and February 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
In the latest DeepState video, analysts state that the grey zone remains relevant and that the enemy is trying to infiltrate deep into the territory and gain a foothold. Infantry presence and regular infiltrations have been confirmed by a source that is used in the market's resolution rules. Despite this, ISW has not reflected this activity on their map — a discrepancy worth noting. Source: DeepState YouTube channel (timestamped): [link removed]
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. reed the rules.
They simply ignored the geolocation data this time from DeepState; even though, they can paint the entire city of Kupiansk or other settlements in the Dnipropetrovsk region without any confirmation, they are losing their credibility
according to claude there is no chance that russia enter and ISW reflects it before march 31.
Russian army
another market to buy against you
Unusually many dumb ukroretards in this chat btw PREPARE TO LOSE ALL YOUR MONEY!!
Its not over yet GO RUSSIA!!
What were ya saying? Oh.......oops. Rusky mirror shows ya wrong again. Better get a new mirror, loser.
no im just hoping for cum from behind victory and got lil exited
russian bitch detected
🚨 UKRAINIAN WHORE DETECTED!!
А у Гуляйполі, А у Гуляйполі, Світяться вишні. Нестор Іванович, Нестор Іванович, Чому так вийшло?
А в Терноватом, А в Терноватом, Светятся вишни. Нестор Иванович, Нестор Иванович, Почему так вышло?
In the latest update, infiltration is shown [link removed] I hope they fix the map.
There is no infiltration in the latest update. Ternove is a separate settlement. Ternuvate is located on the left and has a distinct blue color
Nope. You're just wrong. As per usual. Thanks for always being on the wrong side. It's nice for us good guys.
yeah my bad
🤮 🤮 🤮
Suck it up russians! Just stop crying on Polymarket and join the Russian army
This guy gets it
It was fun you guys, call me again when you fake pump another market to buy against you again
You just got lucky.
Keep coping
Ya pravilno ponimayu, shto eti mudaki opyat shto-to pokrasili, prodali svoi DA i otmenili pokrasku?
imenno tak
u etih baklanov pohodu kartografi poyavilis drugie - stali zakrashivat kakimi-to malenkimi pyatnami, kotorie nikak ne poddautsa logike. prichem v osnovnom stali otmechat tolko uspehi ukraini
ya tozhe eto zametil, pora realno карту менять на другую
a gde vi ih koshelki vidite v razdele positions? Oni maks mogli 1-2k zarabotat' i to s gorem popolam
Ukraine forfeited their right to exist in 2014, now they gotta pay
So having seen the shitshow in Iran, can anyone deny that Russia did the right thing after Ukraine was taken over by regime of Nazis backed by the USA? Russias big error was that they DIDNT ACT IMMEDIATELY in 2014 but instead waited for these criminals to build up their army.
Okay, let's try again. Ukrainian military forces are posting footage of a strike on Russian positions: t me/romedronen/536. The largest Ukrainian military channel geolocates it and confirms Russian troops are present: t me/DeepStateUA/23325. And that's still not enough to update the map? In their attempts to exaggerate the Ukrainian counteroffensive, the ISW team is more Ukrainian than the Ukrainians themselves.
🚨 UKRONAZI DETECTED!!!
wtf, ISW error?
They are idiots.
I don't think they are gonna mark it again, as the UA side claimed to clear the infiltration .
I really feel so bad for the Russians, they where dealt the shittiest of cards ever in history, having to live right next to these gang of entitled Nazis and whores
But at this point, is ANYBODY rooting for Ukraine? No, maybe some incels left but all normal people can see how shitty and worthless Ukrainians and their western backers are and ALL normal ppl I know just hope that Ukraine is remove from Earth ASAP
lmao, cope
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
July 31 · Yes
Amount
$
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