↑$2.5T$115K Vol.
↓$1.5T$4K Vol.
↓$1.45T$3K Vol.This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5bc8aa2b-22b5-48cc-b54a-1310145b0a86/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
12 Trading days people.. its not just on close, its the high point at any time. $2.5T is a lock.
i am confused: why 1.3T and 1.35T not resolved to "Yes"? the market valuation is 1.675T now
Why 2 and 2.25T outcome proposed Yes? ITS 1.675
Didn't propose it, but: "as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing".
Ez money
how much gay are you from 1-10
Redeeming now after tourists explained it on X /post/status/2063934558093869379
ts shi is moving randomly bro the moment this thing lands in the hands of the public perception valuation will go down as of right now provided liquidity is aroun half of 1.5 trilion miss match between this and nsm is just too great so this may be free money or i just cant interpret poly market rules
happy
Can someone clarify the resolution logic for the ↓$1.4T market? The rules say the market resolves “Yes” if SpaceX’s NPM valuation “reaches or exceeds” the listed amount, which sounds like ≥ $1.4T. But the down arrow and current pricing suggest it may actually mean valuation falls to or below $1.4T. Which interpretation controls for the downside markets: the written “reaches or exceeds” language, or the down-arrow meaning of “at or below”?
basically it means from the starting price of when the market was created, which according to the rules is: Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET the valuation on May 18th was $1.407T; so basically any price that is hit from this point forward will count.
By trading, you agree to the Terms of Use.
↓$1.4T$5K Vol.
↓$1.35T$63K Vol.
↑$3.0T$91K Vol.
↓$1.3T$56K Vol.
↑$3.5T$78K Vol.
↑$4.0T$76K Vol.