This market will resolve to "Yes" if Syria conducts elections for a new national government by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying elections must allow for voting by the populace across a majority of the territory within Syria’s borders. Elections which exclude specific regions or population groups will qualify. However, elections limited to a small group, such as tribal leaders or other restricted bodies without broad public participation, will not count. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ok, Im here!
why is yes not at 1%? The head of the transitional gov made it clear that they aren't capable of conducting a census and holding election until 4 years from now
Any reason this went up so much?
I wonder whether the election of the imam of the Umayyad Mosque might count.
As long as he's elected in the Golan heights, anything goes....
Should we propose a resolution Al Jolani litteraly said that election will be in 4 years
June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM will be the resolution
"Al-Sharaa noted the difficulty of holding elections in Syria, which can take up to four years, as well as drafting a constitution for the country which can take up to three years." [link removed]
"In late 2025 or early 2026, the UN will be brought in to oversee elections." (Atlantic Council, Dec. 24) [link removed]
"Khaled [HTS political affairs bureau] said he and Sharaa envision a yearlong transition to lay the framework for a new government. Such hot-button social issues as women’s dress codes, the treatment of LGBT people and alcohol consumption will be discussed, they said, and elections will have to wait. [...] That transition will take time as laws and a constitution are written, he said. Until, he added, there will be no elections." (WSJ, Dec. 23) [link removed]
"Abu Mohammed al-Jawlani says the country isn’t ready for elections" (WSJ, Dec. 16) [link removed]
"Al-Bahra, President of the Syrian National Coalition, said Syria should draft a constitution within six months, on which the first election would be a referendum." [link removed]
lol
Cheap days are over. Elections in march
what happened? source?
Unfortunately nothing. Next elections will be probably in 18 months. I have made a mistake
You made a mistake worth you +70$. lol =D
I would still hold if i would be convinced
elections announced for March :D
I am a Syrian. Of course we will have elections in half a year
Have you seen this? https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-syria-in-2024
[link removed] elections have been announced. Buy while cheap (no one says that the election is fair though)
why don't you buy?
I did but I fucked up becuase an emergency happened irl. I saw that US still wanted to keep its sanctions against the new Syrian government so I quickly sold here to buy "No" to USA would not recognice the Syrian government by March 2025, but by mistake I bought yes instead, so I quickly sold that and bought No but it was too late and I just missed alot of money. I am not going back from there though. The only problem here is that actually holding elections by July is still a bit rushed even though they announced it. I only realized after the fact
Lol no
I wonder what Will happen when a majority of the people are able tot vote, but they don’t have the majority territory..
But HTS controls more then half of Syria Anyways, so it is just the question if they call elections.
i think no