December 31, 2027$0 Vol.
June 30, 2027$1 Vol.
December 31, 2026$837K Vol.If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
No shot it happens before 2028
@BABELCONSTEL you can exit and probably make all the cash back on SpaceX dillusional numbers but prefer being stucked here. And yes Doge-1 is happening very soon, you just need to track news which you obviously not doing. You know why they added the June 2027 bracket? It’s not a coincidence, because it’s planned on next lunar mission this year and it can slip to Q1. Goodluck wasting time btw
Ill put up $500,000 if someone wants to take the other side of it
you are little bit weird, it’s not about whether it’s going to happen or not, even though I think it happens this year with high probability. It’s about how you use funds, there are so many free markets or risk free options than that 4% you trying to milk here. You will have to wait until the end of the year even if it resolves to your side. There is a market if Trump goes to space in 2026, plenty of shares at 97c, you think it’s going to happen? obviously not, nobody buys that because it’s “stuck” liquidity for a year…
DOGE-1 to the Moon is still underway with years of development and a recent satellite upgrading engineering sprint to make it on the next feasible Lunar mission with SpaceX as long foretold! Stay tuned for updates from us as we advance toward the great 12U Lunar CubeSat launch! GG
dema bable
Check out my detailed breakdown as to why doge-1 will launch this year on twitter @SylwesterUrban7
Good analysis, there were only good signs until now, just a matter of time. Why would they put a timer if it wouldn’t be happening this year?
What s happening?
probably insiders, too many new accounts or holding only this position
Patriots loss just costed BABELCONSTEL $122k, Doge will be the slowest drag on his portfolio actually, 'the hedge' 😅
Instead of focusing on sports markets to make it all back, dude is focused on how to lock in as much as possible in this one 😂
Get Shorty
Never saw a guy who would bet big just to prove he is right lol, without any beneficial return. What options BABEL has? Exit at 93c making a little bit of profit and not wait until Dec 31 or wait until the end for additional 3-4k with risk of losing it all. Since he is not even trying to exit looks like he is ready to risk it for peanuts or maybe there is no liquidity for him to exit because people holding too good odds. Anyway good signs already appearing, those who tracking they probably know. Goodluck x2, see ya in May.
You could make a better return in a checking account with zero risk.....
IM-3 and Doge-1 will be confirmed in May. SpaceX IPO “accidentally” planned right after for mid summer and right before Doge-1 launch in September. Everything will be used to hype up the IPO. 2026 is the Moon year, Artemis launched and someone on NO thinks it’s hard to launch a 40 kg CubeSat that been years in development. Goodluck lol
Thanks BABELCONSTEL for exit liquidity
Can we just appreciate babels commitment to losing money. Just check his history :D
The stars are aligning for 2026 launch!
There is a chance it happens this year
I'm down to bet more if you want. I just don't see the team pulling it off with all the delays that have happened since 2021. It will happen in 2027 in my view.
pnl atl..
you have $20 LOL
hes in profit, u donated almost half a milly $ to other players lmfao
There is no chance it happens this year
Have you tried to make any due diligence before aping 260k$ into this? You could farm probably same if not higher APY by staking your USDC lmao. Try to ask Grok or any AI about probability of happening it this year if you are too lazy to do it. And btw you can check the official project site ([link removed]) that shows a countdown targeting September 13, 2026. It might not happen this year, but since the CubeSat is potentially ready and Doge-1 got all gov permissions necessary I dont see many arguments why it cant be this year. So in conclusion the real probability is about 10-20%, specially when SpaceX is now more focused on Lunar missions rather than Mars. Its happening either this or next year with probability of 96%.
If you are so sure double up your position. I will provide more than enough liquidity for you to ape another 50,000 yes shares at around 5 cents. According to your "math" that should be a good rate compared to the 10-20% you claim the true odds are.
I don't believe in the team or doge-1 happening this year. There are too many delays that have happened since 2021. I just don't see them doing it this year at all. I saw the website but targets change and deadlines get missed the only chance it has of happening this year is in late Q3 and if that doesn't happen then its 2027 imo.
that is solid argument, you probably right
Why are you all selling?
They secretly launched Doge-1 in 2025, so the market is being cancelled
Stop Babel
Stop?
Bro, why you so sure that the launch won't happen this year?
The top and only No guy is so brave and confident. The dude sets the probability himself
Someone explain me why would you lock 200k$ on a market for 6+ months when you can get almost same ROI by staking usdc on any cex/dex risk free with possibility to withdraw anytime? While it is still projected to happen in 2026 with IM-3 mission...It says launch date 2026 [link removed] + Samuel asked for this market to be created and launched a website with Doge-1 merch hmmmmm
generational retard
What are you suggesting?
Top NO dude blocked the money here so he wouldn't lose it on other markets.
to the moooon!
Soaring into the universe, vast and boundless
Early 2026 Final launch readiness and review. Mid 2026 DOGE-1 launch and deployment. Late 2026 Lunar orbit insertion, data and billboard operations [link removed]
wont be until Q3 in 2027 buddy
why?
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