EconomyMarkets
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↓ 3.5%>99%
↑ 4.25%25%
↓ 3.25%20%
↑ 4.5%10%
$1,550,770 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 4.25%$37K Vol.25%
1%
↓ 3.25%$75K Vol.20%
1%
↑ 4.5%$18K Vol.RulesMarket Context
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
I'm cooked
Watching a massive 500k sell-wall get chipped away. The buyers here have serious capital.
What the hell is over here 10% of free money?
It'll be a slow walk down from where we are now. They want to hit the sweet spot, not crash anything. Expect a lot of little 0.25% cuts over the next two years.