December 31, 2026$755 Vol.
June 30, 2026$60K Vol.This is a market on predicting the date when the UK general election will be officially called.
Can we have market for 31 December?
If Andy burnham doesn’t win the bi election, this market will go up
Keir Starmer will resign by May 2026 (Local Elections), as other PMs have resigned due to poor local election results. However, a general election would NOT be held if he resigned, any Labour MP who takes over will see a boost in the polls - since they're not Starmer
A party never voluntarily gives up power in the UK until they're forced to - which would make it 2029.
-$86.79
They are authoritarian. They will never leave.
You're talking about Reform right?
220k signed a petition calling for an immediate GE.
[link removed].uk/news/petition-to-call-an-immediate-general-election-passes-100000-signatures-500062 THis one
Yeah because petitions amount to much. You’ve got to know the electoral system. They only get debated and then rejected the same day unless there’s a majority approval. Why would Labour who has the majority want to call an election and then Labour MPs lose their jobs ? Bit of rationality and knowledge required here.
UK democracy is a flaw democracy. I don’t think anyone is able to overthrow the ruling party given that they (the labor party) are the majority in the parliament
They can continue to rule for the next 5 years regardless of anything that happens to the UK
literally the same in any westminister system i dont see what the “flaw” is
Flaw is that it’s not proportionate representation like the Dutch politics. Westminster model is long out dated and favour the 2 traditional parties. However, they won’t be so keen themselves on changing it 🤣
That assumes Starmers backbenchers dont fall out of line. If they see the writing on the wall, or an opportunity to save their seats away from Starmer's labour, they could paralyse government, eventually forcing a new GE.