Below 190$21K Vol.
195-199$30K Vol.
190-194$10K Vol.The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. Members of the House of Representatives who are "delegates” or “resident commissioners” not chosen by the people of a state are not included for purposes of resolving this market. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
great time to buy below 190. All the rigging of the map also dilutes strong R districts putting them in play. If the voting ends up +10% D swing the Rs lose more than they otherwise would have. All the recent odd year and special elections have been approx 20%+ swings in the favor of Ds. 10%+ for Ds would yield ~185 R seats.
why don't 40% Below 190 ?
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205-209$37K Vol.
215-219$11K Vol.
220-224$55K Vol.
200-204$23K Vol.
210-214$14K Vol.
225-229$23K Vol.
230+$29K Vol.