This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark , however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
The easiest market on polymarket right now
my profile summed up
There's no way to tell. The answer is obvious.
"We are working actively with the people of Greenland to get a deal ready as soon as possible" -Trump on truth social
Maybe he believes his own words. He is probably crazy enough that his aides fear telling him otherwise and dumb enough to believe it's true.
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Somethings cooking… why try to make friends with the locals?
What kind of morons are buying Yes here lol. Of course Trump will never acquire Greenland. The only way he would have any chance of getting Greenland is by going to war with Europe and even Trump is not that stupid.
ridiculously mid-curve take right here, you're the reason this market is so juicy for geopolitical alphas. You realise Trump directly threatened Greenland annexation infront of the NATO secretary general and he just rolled over and said it's not up to NATO? The convexity in this market would make mother teresa weap, Trump can escalate at the snap of his fingers and this market goes to 50%. Keep buying NO pleb, oh wait you haven't even entered. Grow up.
You are entirely right when you say Trump could instantly sway the market to 50%. However what he can't do is change the outcome. We MAY get better yes odds, but we WILL get a NO outcome.
So in that case you should trade the market by waiting for that 50% swing and then buying NO, rather than juicing out 3% return at these prices, don't you think?
You may win the lottery, it does not mean you will.
That's why I'd rather place algorithmically layered bets. If odds get better, I'll increase exponentially.
Can't wait to see this wipe your account
Genuine question, are you actually following along with the situation daily or have you read one article of someone saying it'll never happened and just agreed because you think it's still 2019?
Question: are you American? My guess is yes. FYI Jesus is not coming back in 2025, Melania is not getting deported, and Trump ain't getting Greenland. But I appreciate your concern for my account's wellbeing.
Couldn't be more wrong, I am actually Australian and voting left in this year's election. Thanks for confirming you don't follow news.
Dude there are only 2 possibilities to hold a 15k yes position. Either you're a pump and dump demi-god, or you're an idiot.
i am not sure which one i am yet, time will tell
This is not giving money away
This market is not moving on any headline, generation opportunity.
Trump said this [link removed]
Trump will break NATO and invade Denmark, this market is quite underpriced.
Greenland**
I shall, but on the longer dated market. Betting against the unpredictable Trump in this market doesn't make sense to me, especially given that he is talking about buying Gaza. He's not a believer in US being part of Nato, in his mind the US gets nothing out of it. I dont think he is overly afraid of military action given the army at his disposal. If this market swings to yes it'll go straight to 90% because that's how quickly this will turn.
you should buy more now, you are not going to get this fantastic price much longer
AMERICAN BEAVER WILL NEVER GET GREENLAND
Greenland is europe, vikings, norse!!!! should belelong to europe nation!!
it's not about wishes
exactly
At 17:50 the POTUS says he will get Greenland! Yeah Baby! [link removed]
Honestly what did you guys think buying YES that high
believe trump
Ill just leave that here: [link removed]
Pls no
people in this market are ok ?
January 6th this bet is as good as resolved for no already
Interesting video about why Trump can't buy Greenland: [link removed] Watch this before you place your bet