Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Where can I see despite solutions

can somoene tip me uwu

thanks for playing see you guys in the 2026 alien bonds

this will resolve yes once it disputes, $750 to make tens of thousands is imminent. No's should probably start worrying

We open dispute

tons of bots buying NO's again

Ugabuga(

**Wording for proposed resolution to YES** -- anyone wanting to formally propose YES outcome feel free to use this wording, we've used a copy/paste site because Polymarket does not allow long comments: [link removed]

Why the ufo disclosure is yes and this is 99.9% no?

Bots

I also agree that the bot spam of this 2025 market is totally unacceptable, and there needs to be very careful consideration and scrutiny around how this market should resolve, given the overwhelming level of disclosure that has actually happened this year at many levels of US authority -- with particular scrutiny on the wording: "or any US federal agency".

agree right now we just need a whale to propose a resolution or it will remain unsolved. lots of bots buying no

Qs: (1) What is a whale in a bit more specific detail? (2) What specific rationale would the whale be using to propose that the market resolves to yes?

by “whale” I mean a top holder with a lot of cash XD .. . Anyone can propose a resolution but u have to put down 750$ usdc as a bond. If ur proposal is accepted as correct, you get your bond back and If it’s wrong u lose the bond

After you propose, there’s a 2 hour window where someone can dispute by posting a matching bond if it gets disputed, it goes through UMA’s dispute process and here where can share evidence/rationale during on the discussion .... I haven’t done it myself this is just my understanding

and to propose resolution there's a link under the rules titled "propose resolution"

Thanks for the bearings. So if you were a whale proposing a resolution, what rationale/evidence would you say should be put forward to say that it should resolve to yes? this would certainly be needed since any "yes" proposal will be disputed by the "no" holders.

Rules literally say “any US federal agency definitively states extraterrestrial life or technology exists.” The US has put out official UFO/UAP docs + official acknowledgements already .. by the rules that’s basically “technology exists” in official form

I'm happy to work on this, but we'll need to better than that - would need links/sources, and "the US" needs to resolve to definition in the rules. Specifically:

only do it this if u r totally okay to risk 750$ and definitely u need sources & links I only highlighted the key point a good AI would help - but again only if u r totally okay to risk 750$ & preferably also if someone has experience with this

i can't even post full reply - comments broken

posted as new comment.

i see ur comment .. the current issue isn’t the wording easy thing with AI but it’s that nobody’s proposing a resolution

No one will put down $750 without the confidence of a reasonable argument being put forward, which is now available -- and was not something AI did well at all on the first 9 drafts frankly.

All, when this market is copy/pasted for a 2026 version (just like 2025 was a copy/paste from 2024) can I suggest that the wording "extra terrestrial" is not used. It would be better to refer to "extra terrestrial life OR at least one confirmed case of advanced technology not made by Humans" (Humans as defined below). If UAP turn out to be extra dimensional, extra temporal or something else we don't even understand -- any of which would be even more exotic than ET -- then the spirit of this market is that clearly that it should resolve to yes; conversely it would be BS if the US (as defined) confirm UAP are indeed non-human but the market resolves to "no" on the technicality that they are neither human nor necessarily extra terrestrial per se. Especially as it would not be the first time semantic games are played with these definitions in the interest of obfuscation.

["Humans" definition: means present day Earth-bound humans (Homo sapiens) as generally understood by mainstream science and specifically EXCLUDES: (a) potential future/ancient humans -- eg. in a scenario where the UFOs are associated with time manipulation, (b) extra-terrestrial humans -- humans not located on Earth, (c) extra-dimensional humans -- humans not originating from our generally understood/perceptible dimensional reality, (d) any evolutionary or other tangential branch of humanity or advanced human civilisation that has been on or around Earth durationally, but has been broadly undetected by mainstream science, or (f) any combination of the above.]

brilliant speech))

FML, 2026 version was already created back in Nov, using the exact same ET wording. Sigh

hundreds of bots are bying NO's for 16 hours already wtf ?

so noone believes in aliens nowadays, I guess..

Is it normal to have so many bots spamming no in a market?

they’re trying to hide the older comments and probably a whale holding no doesn’t want anyone to propose a resolution … we’re cooked

We just need a whale to propose a resolution. As per the rules “technology exists” and we have official UFO files, this should be an easy YES - even UFO existence market resolved yes

Maybe it will be discovered tomorrow.

It might be discovered in 2026, but not today.

I am alien

sup

Still on the way

Then i'll ask you

where is aliens