Yes$226K Vol.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
i just want to point out, brazil is not a Latin American country
of course it is
WTF
This market is just a proxy for a US military intervention in Cuba or people have something else in mind? Venezuela has already been "dealt with" and I think a ground operation in Mexico is completely unrealistic.
Same whales, same playbook ArmageddonRewardsBilly appears as a dominant holder across multiple political markets, continuously followed by the same wallets, including alliswell and CrazyB1-chX0X0. They enter late during disputes or final review and trigger abrupt price flips from 0-1% to 99-100% without new factual evidence. This is coordination, not price discovery. The final price reflects who can coordinate the most capital at the end, not reality. Warning: Everyone, please stop betting if you see these whales participating until Polymarket has an official response.
My opinion: [link removed]
2 months old but as of now not vey compelling
Polymarket did not approve of the US invading Venezuela. And Polymarket ripped off its customers.
It wasn't an invasion, no territory was occupied
All the countries in the Americas are America's backyard.
there is a rich person putting yes on this that put 30k on no for invading venezuela before 2027 don’t fall for the pump
obviously not, they’re not going to invade venezuela they’ll just silently run it, you’ll have to be an actual idiot to put yes on this
lmao this is funny
I can't wait to find a Latin American Country ! When will they be available to invade asking for a friend.
By trading, you agree to the Terms of Use.