This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Afghanistan between June 19 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Afghanistan or the United States as of June 19, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Zero chance of an invasion. Trump is focusing on domestic issues and "economic warfare." The U.S. is currently busy freezing Afghan assets and banning immigration, but there are no boots on the ground planned for 2026 either.
Not happening.
US invasion of Afghanistan unlikely in 2025 amid Taliban stability.
afghanistan 2026 option pls
someoine buy my shares
israel is gonna help, and then they can go after iran from right next door
He is gonna take his airbase back by force
someone buy my shares
DEPARTMENT OF WAR
he really wants bagram
literally 0 percent this abond
what would be the more realistic outcome of this happening tho ?
No since they are not a threat to us for now
Why?