June 30, 2026$3M Vol.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Venezuela has emerged as India’s third-largest crude oil supplier this month, as the war on Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz force countries to scramble for alternative energy sources. Shipments from Venezuela to India are nearly 50 percent higher than they were in April, according to energy tracking data.
scam link beware
If escalation happens, it will likely be justified as stabilization while the real drivers are oil and China. Look to The Guardian article. If my notes are useful, even a dollar helps cover the data I use for these updates.
Congress has not officially declared a war since Pearl Harbor. Buy NO safely. Not much yield but safe.
If you want a safe bet with higher yield buy NO on "peace prize for Trump"
This will only go up if it further escalates cheapest buy ever
ya gonna lose money
GN
DONT BUY YES, THE LAST TIME THAT USA DECLARE WAR WAS ON 1942
They just attacked in Venezuela.
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The crazy Pendejo will declare war on Venezuela and find a way to blame the democrats for it lmao!
Do yes holder even know when the last time the U.S. "officially declared war" was? Every war has been fought through the AUMF, there's 0% chance of this happening
100% correct analysis
Oh my god will you shut up please.
every single Yes holder on the Top Holder board is negative haha
polymarket is the place where you've got to choose if you are a gambler or casino
Congressmen are chomping at the bit to cancel their holidays and come to DC to declare war for the first time since 1942. Happening any day now.
Last time this happened was WW2, every war since then congress has not declared
you are preaching history at people who refuse to read the first line of the rules. they think Donny is going to just yap a few words, and then they suddenly GET RICH
HEY MORONS, PRESIDENT BLACKBEARD doe not actually have the authority to declare war, that is CONGRESS' JOB, and they're GOING HOME FOR THE HOLIDAYS in a couple days. You RETARDS, LMAOOOOOO
Thanks for cashing me out congress doesn’t need to pass it retards they’re going to use AUMF 2001 and label Maduro a terrorist giving them credible reason to skip congress
WOW RETARD, READ THE RULES you BRAINDEAD SUBHUMAN LMFAOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
$-3000 and STILL BRAGGING, how the fuck do you even function day-to-day, you POTATO BRAIN
Why are there so many bots betting $1 "No"? lmao
If it's Yes, betters score a 20x. If it is No, bettors make pretty much nothing because the price is already so high. There is no upside.
merry bondmas ho ho ho
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