GeopoliticsMarkets
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
$146,623 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Yes$147K Vol.13%
2%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
As an Iranian, no chance in hell
After the war ends and there is regieme change like israel wants, cuz theyre not leaving it without it, the embassy will reopen this year. A year is a long time, 9 months. Any boots on the ground or regieme change (which is destined to happen the US has no choice other than to do so) will at most last a few weeks or months, and it will happen this year. Honestly free money printing
No.
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Yes · Yes
Amount
$
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