This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Vatican hosts an official meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine to negotiate a ceasefire or peace agreement by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The meeting must involve direct and in person participation of representatives from both Russia and Ukraine and be explicitly aimed at discussing a ceasefire or peace agreement in the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. Unofficial discussions, humanitarian negotiations, or meetings not physically hosted in the Vatican will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible media reporting confirming the meeting will suffice.
Believe me guys, that NEVER happen.
I still think that negotiations will most likely take place in the Vatican, but in the short term the price on this market will decrease.
who asked
Istanbul will be the likely venue for the second round of direct talks between Russia and Ukraine, a source has told TASS.
sorry guys it’s over
is not near to be over.
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With time, the probability of negotiations in the Vatican only increases. Over the last 8 days, the Russians have not once (!) mentioned Istanbul. This means that they do not insist on it.
I am building a logical chain for the little ones. Fact number 1: Putin is the only person who makes decisions in the Russian Federation. Fact number 2: Trump spoke with Putin on May 19. Fact number 3: Trump asked Meloni to speak with the Pope on May 20, after speaking with Putin, which means that the Vatican was discussed with Putin (the WSJ article also says this) and Trump most likely received consent.
Meanwhile Kremlin press secretary says it would be inappropriate to hold peace talk in the catholic capital
They say a lot of things, including that they don't plan to attack Ukraine, that's their job.
Yes. I am near achieving my goal: +8% in 2 days. This will drop significantly in few days. It's going to be less than 10% in less than 7 days. Mark my words.
If you are sure, you have to buy even more…a logical chain.
Do you see how much I bought?
Late Tuesday, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni posted on Facebook that, at Trump’s request, she has reached out to Leo and confirmed his willingness to host the talks.
at Trump’s request(!!!)
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The decision on the location of the next round of talks between Russia and Ukraine will be made when the time comes, it is not there yet. This decision cannot be made by one side, it requires the consent of both sides. When the time comes, this decision will naturally be made - Putin's press secretary Peskov
I translate from the language of the Putin administration into English: we are not insisting on Istanbul, but we will keep the intrigue and give Putin himself the opportunity to announce everything
Guys, let's split up. I see a technical dick signal on the chart.
nonsense, that is clearly a metaphysical creampie signal
Orthodox Church is shady ) aint gonna happen
in russia all decisions are made from a purely pragmatic point of view
Putin's war is driven by a "civilizational" ideology that sees Russia as the true heir of Christian orthodoxy - Dugin's "Third Rome." The Vatican, as a symbol of Western Catholicism, represents everything this ideology rejects. Holding talks there would be seen domestically as spiritual and geopolitical surrender - completely unacceptable to the Kremlin's narrative.
in russia only incels millennials know about dugin, do you really think there is any ideology here?
Bro, you are -50%. You are going to loose this money. 0% chances for you to win. I don't want to argue with you. It's clear you think in clichee and are, probably, angry because of your loss.
I just wanted to help you get rid of your strange thoughts, since you probably never lived in russia.
Ok. Thank you for caring. Good luck.
Looks like Porx try to coplay Denizz in Hamas casefire market =)
Russia opposes the Vatican's participation in the negotiations on Ukraine, Bloomberg [link removed]
you really think you're gonna surprise anyone with that post?
You expect YES to trade 35c today and your fair value is 55c, yet you are unwilling to buy at 25c :D ok bro
A smart investor won't throw all his money into American bonds
Last offer i can sell you shares at 21c
Just wait, you'll see that I was right. I'll go to bed for now.
Good luck
You will go to the employment bureau soon
sleep well bro
Porx, i am willing to meet you at 75c for as much as you want
This won't lower my average, there's no point anymore
Your avg is 28, what price do you want?
I'll probably buy more for 19, assuming no new events follow.
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Extreme cope by Porx, bro is really willing to sink on a WSJ article 💀
Well, that's not the main thing, the main thing is that it is not in Putin's interests to refuse Trump's offer.
You'll see, today the price will be more than 35
As you can see, I'm not just trying to scam you - I'm buying everything that's sold for less than 25.
At least one reason to buy "no" for 80? Do you have any experience on this site?
The real chances now are 55/45