Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?

Maybe tiktok will be banned again within April due to trade war between China and US

Fuck the sold button is too sensitive, I was thinking just sell few shares to derisk, it sold all my shares

Good luck, I hope you will win

There is no evidence showing He actually signed an EO to extend the deadline at this point

Looks like an easy win for YES, all they need is just a little bit of luck

Deal to sell TikTok was in place, but ByteDance pulled out after new Trump tariffs [link removed]

Interesting, this market has 30% probabily for TikTok ban, looks like big disbalance https://polymarket.com/event/tiktok-banned-again-before-may

Things are not looking good for No holder, there's still a chance someone might challenge his unlawful extension,bytedance already made a statement saying there's no such agreement exists

[link removed] "Legal experts say Trump's delays in the form of executive orders run afoul of the federal TikTok ban law, which stipulates that certain conditions need to be met, like certifying that a divestiture from ByteDance is in motion, before moving to pause the law's start date. In other words, it is still technically illegal for TikTok to operate in the U.S., since it remains under the control of a Chinese company. " "Yet moves by Trump and his administration assuring TikTok and its service providers that U.S. authorities will not prosecute anyone under the law have been enough for the popular app to stay online despite operating in violation of a federal statute." Trump actually only has one opportunity to extend it by 90 days, but this time it’s his second extension, for 75 days, so it’s illegal. What trump is doing goes against Federal law. Even if he signs a new EO, it goes against the bill signed by congress.

Thanks for sharing

Well… now its an easy win for NO. All we need is just a little bit of luck like you said. Hahahaha

Looks like an easy win for YES, all they need is just a little bit of luck

Most likely scenario: On April 5th Trump tries to extend and then at the LATEST April 20th (the maximum 90 days after the start of the first ban extension) the courts issue an injunction for violating the PAFACA. App stores are likely to ban it again within a day of that injunction then it goes to the courts for months. I hedged with some cheap May sale happens shares in case a miracle sale happens. Good luck guys buying at 85c+. If you think any attempt to extend again will not get sued into oblivion you guys are gonna have a fun ride.

For the record, everything Trump has said about extending again says he has not read the law or understand what he can do (which is very on brand for him). The law allows for ONE 90 day max extension. He didn't use the full 90 days for some odd reason but maybe there's an argument for an additional 15 day to get to that 90 day cap (which is still before May). There is no authority to extend beyond that and the app stores don't play around when it comes to the potential penalties ($5000 per violation).

do you think this fucker is gonna argue that since she didn't do the 90 day extension he gets to now?

Fade Eramus every time

Why not 95?

Fade Eramus every time

Eramus gained 3x, and back to square one now. wake up bro. will be interesting to see if he buys more or sell off.

Did our favourite cat @car seemingly fat finger a No at 18c when everyone was smashing Yes?!? 😂

Just knew you had a negative pnl from that stupid comment

Look at his history bro. He swung that trade perfectly.

Be honest: how many of you 90c Yes buyers thought this market said "By May 1" instead of "On My 1"?

90c was ridiculous i agree but still pretty likely atp.

the market for tiktok sale by may is only 40c so even if you give it a few more percent because maybe the ban gets delayed again or something we're looking at 50-60c at most.

oh look at that, that's where we're landing lol

Wait, you are betting whomever takes it over will rename it, and remove all the value of the brand?

What are you talking about? The market spiked on news it was getting added back to the app store. But that's not what this market is betting on, it's betting on whether or not it's on the app store ON May 1. If the 75 day delay expires and it doesn't get delayed again then it'll get banned and removed from app store again.

Okay, good to know what your logic is here. You are betting the delay will expire, and it will be banned and removed again.

I'm also hedging by buying some "Yes" for sale by May 1. The odds of that are only about 40c. I don't think the odds of a sale not happening but the ban delay getting extended is 30% or whatever the math ends up being so I'm betting against that specifically.

This is where I get confused. If somebody buys TikTok, why would it be removed from the app store?

It would not. That's why I'm buying "Yes" for tiktok sale by May 1. That way if a sale happens then this goes to 100 and I lose 30c on my No but I gain 60c on my Yes in that market.

I'm specifically betting against a sale not happening but the ban delay is extended.

Got it, appreciate the explaination.

This is less likely than TikTok Sale announcement before May, yet the price is lower. Sale can be announced and sale date likely to be at least a month after the announcement. Hence, even if sale was announced, very likely tech companies decide to wait until the sale date before unbanning TikTok!

Because none of these events will occur at all

Haha!

Def won't be sold. Considering selling while I'm up and just buying into the may sale announcement market.

[link removed] It will be either Microsoft or Oracle

Not gonna happen btw

L

The sale itself definitely won't happen, and sale announcement won't happen either.

PRESIDENT TRUMP ON TIKTOK: "You have an asset that has no value or has a trillion dollar value. It all depends on whether or not the United States gives the permit. So what I'm saying is let the United States give the permit, and the United States should get half."

Trump is doing a reporter Q&A after the big Stargate AI co. announcement and Larry Ellison is in the room Questions are all over the place (LA fires, Gaza, Ukraine, etc.) Someone asks if Trump wants Musk to buy TikTok, Trump says yes but he also wants Ellison to buy it, jokes Ellison can afford it and they should negotiate it now on live TV, explains his US joint venture idea "Sounds like a good deal to me," says Ellison Next 4 years of this is gonna be insane

[link removed]

[link removed]