PoliticsMarkets
CA-04 Primary Winners
Mike Thompson>99%
Eric Jones>99%
Heath Fulkerson5%
Laurie MacKenzie3%
$45,093 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
Mike Thompson$8K Vol.>99%
Eric Jones$14K Vol.>99%
18%
Heath Fulkerson$2K Vol.5%
RulesMarket Context
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
CNN and NBC have called the primary for Mike Thompson and Eric Jones. Please propose Final Outcome.