This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Donald Trump and Elon Musk make public statements clearly indicating a mutual reconciliation by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Individual statements indicating reconciliation will not qualify unless reciprocated. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
GG
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I have found a value bet Will the US strike the Fordow nuclear facility before July For me it should be sixty NO instead of forty My opinion is NO as many factors reduce the chance of this happening see the rules the attack must penetrate and not be neutralized Technical Limitations Fordow is underground protected by concrete and rock built to resist drones and conventional bombs Only a bunkerbuster bomb like GBU fifty seven MOP could destroy it These bombs are rare risky and their failure would hurt Trump politically He is unlikely to use them unless under extreme pressure Political and Geopolitical Context Many Republicans MAGA and Congress members want to avoid another war Trump prefers to avoid a long conflict or new fronts with Russia and China Russia and others warn of major escalation and nuclear risk US intel says Iran is not actively making nuclear weapons so justification is weak.
RIP 😭
Car is selling :)
Trump is focused on Iran and doesn't have time to deal with Musk right now.
Grok: no mutual public statements confirming reconciliation have been made, keeping the probability of a "Yes" outcome low at 18%, with "No" leading at 82%.
Never
Grok "...the lack of clear, reciprocated public statements keeps the "No" outcome at a strong 83.5% likelihood as the deadline approaches".
Can someone give me a tldr of why price went down so much today lmao
Cuz U rR gey :)
The closet is transparent lil bro
Grok "...the lack of clear, reciprocated public statements keeps the "No" outcome at a strong 83.5% likelihood as the deadline approaches".
Stop being a retard and tell me if any news came out.
because Trump is so focused on Iran right now that he won't have time to put on this show with Elon?
Trump ain’t an issue, it’s Elon we need. I believe we can push trump though with his statements. The price just dipped 10c in a day and I didn’t understand why
Their relationship can't go back to the way it used to be.
there is a lot of doubt what counts as reconciliation. But the terms say 'clear reconciliation'. As long as there is some doubt, yes would be unlikely imho
I heard Elon didn’t even say happy Birthday today :(
Grok: "...no confirmed public statements of mutual reconciliation have surfaced, keeping the "No" outcome at a strong 69.5% likelihood."
Hello guys please retweet this, it should solve your bet too, all the market rules are fulfilled . Thanks
Or someone proprose yes and put that evidence
"Individual statements indicating reconciliation will not qualify unless reciprocated." What do you think that paragraph means?
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You don’t know how this works, if you want to dispute a proposal, you do it through uma and stake $750 twice. You don’t post on twitter 😆
Uma rejected the proposal, it s an error from them, it s not my fault
They have to admit that is their fault and to compesate everyone with YES , so please retweet
lol what how does uma reject a proposal. Yes holders are not getting refunded lol this will go nowhere.
It s not our fault that the mechanism that solve the bet made a HUGE ERROR , polymarket team should cover the winnings of YES holders and use a better mechanism from now on
Brother shut the fuck up
Bro stop embarrassing yourself
One tweet Elon. One tweet.
is trump checked?
I believe it will pass uma yes
[link removed] Share this tweet
Your holding to resolution?
I’m certainly not selling at this price 😆
You’re*
Are you gay sir?
For you
Ya your def gay for these No shares
What happened to your gay ass profile pic? It fit you well
Ok poor boy, sound like you’re on the look for a sugar daddy?
Bro what should i do should i sell my shares? it looks like they’re both going on their own ways
Why u asking me lol do what you want. Selling at this price is bonkers though.
When are you planning on selling? Also why did you get rid of the gay flag in your profile pic?
multiple wars going on, the world and musk and trump might have other things to think about for the time being
so free
so are we just betting on how the tweets will be interpreted in the end?
Trump was asked point blank about reconciliation in an interview. And he avoided answering the question.
right on.
UFC 317 Vagas
Vegas*
Elon going to be there lmao
No public statements have been issued yet:
from grok: "However, no confirmed public statements of mutual reconciliation have been reported, keeping "No" at 52.0%."