This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. government will impose a general tariff on imports into the United States on April 2, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A general tariff that includes item or country specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States is announced. Any tariff which is officially announced within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if/when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
I won for once? That's crazy
how long does it take to usually finalize the result after dispute has ended?
https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-in-2025/us-recession-in-2025?tid=1743630683101
Nice
Orange man just drove the world economy into the ground. This is gonna cost us all guys. Hope you won't get too much affected
on the flipside: he might just have done more for decreasing industrial production than the whole Paris agreement lol
Damn he really was that retarded
The headline is "Trump Imposes 10% Baseline Tariff, Higher Rates for Bad Actors". So it's definitely a yes.
haha
"Right now we're going to have a minimum baseline tariff of 10%"
Proposable imo
10% announced now. “Yes” wins
Yea I missed parts of the speech and other dude was citing WSJ and BBC so I made assumptions I shouldn’t have.
He's only talking about reciprocal and automobiles
what about wine and alcohol? https://polymarket.com/event/trump-tariff-on-eu-alcohol-before-may/trump-tariff-on-eu-alcohol-before-may?tid=1743625009047
Pretty obvious this is a yes
US TO SET BASELINE TARIFF RATE OF 10% FOR ALL COUNTRIES: BBG
U.S. TO IMPOSE 10% ACROSS-THE-BOARD TARIFF ON ALL IMPORTS, PRESIDENT TRUMP SAYS --WSJ
The verbiage on the resolvement is not great. Reciprocal tariffs would include nearly every single country in the world. That is very general, yet specific, at the same time.
I think Trump is so mad that he may do a general tariff
Ok what if it’s a general tariff on a specific country?
Nope
what y'all think of this ?
That he must be the craziest son of beach to think that is a good idea
"Glory to the CCP" - Trump probably
This is literally the most retarted thing he can do and still there is a good chance of this happenig