This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly claims that he crashed the stock market on purpose by April 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market, a qualifying claim must be an original public statement from Trump, either written or verbal, where he explicitly states that he intentionally caused a stock market crash. Reposts, retweets, or shares of other people’s statements will not count—only statements directly authored or spoken by Trump himself will qualify. The resolution source will be public statements made by Donald Trump. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Can I put my balls in your jaw, my balls in your jaw
The thing is, he won't outright say it. He will say it needed to crash, that it was baked in, that his policies would make everyone better off, or some other dodge. But he won't outright say "I crashed the market on purpose" in a way that would be unambiguous enough for this market to resolve.
UMA will vote no in that case (or P4 if needed)
He will eventually say he crashed the markets on purpose. The problem is that it may take more time
You must have excellent mind reading skills, since he literally said the exact opposite when a reporter asked him this question
he contradicts himself all the time
I understand it seems that way. I'm done trying to convince ppl here, keep pumping this fellas
S&P futures are now up btw. He's not going to talk about the "crash" anymore, if anything he's going to brag about how the market is finally recognizing how smart he is
If the markets recover... Big if...And even then it's a coinflip. Anything and it's contrary can come out of the mouth of this dumb fuck
Isn't that very bullish for yes?
if anything that increases the odds lol he'll claim it was all part of his masterplan
Exactly
That makes no sense
We'll see
Is this a joke
I think some of you ppl believe that trump's brain is basically just a random sentence generator
not too far off
That's my baseline belief yeah
I'm glad you guys think that
Wow, clearly no bias here
My bad, you're clearly a genius. Guess that negative PnL is just bad luck
he literally re-posted a post saying he is doing this all on purpose, it's only a matter of days before he says it straight up
Keep dreaming
He needs to explicitly say it, "we knew the market would go down" is not enough
I love how this is a mention market but people trade it like it's an official announcement market.
yeah obviously. If this was an official announcement market it would be at 99c
Very much so.
“It had to be done - it needed a correction” - Trump, April 10th, 2025
He talked about this medicin stuff. You take it on purpose.
Ez
If these tariffs end up working, nobody will ever trust ‘The Experts’ again.
need a new market on "if the tariffs end up working"
I'm sure a recession will work out great 💟
This is pretty much over now. A reporter asked him this exact question and he said no
Hey, it's trump, and we got until April 30th.
up to you I suppose, good luck
[link removed]
all the scammers are going to have a tough time spinning Trump's words when the WH has already announced that they were not trying to crash the market
This is a mention market, sir
where he "explicitly" states that he intentionally caused a stock market crash.
We meet again
Rules on this one too subjective. Stay away.
Yup perfect scam market
“I had to crash the market, folks. It’s like that fart I did last Wednesday. It was painful and got a lot of attention, but we needed the relief. Didn’t we. Isn’t that nice?”
Even if he does acknowledge the downturn he won’t explicitly use the word crash
He specifically needs to say he caused a crash on purpose. Not a correction, not a downturn, and not a sell-off. They all have different definitions and this market is for a crash.
Crashing the market was the right decision anyway, it's necessary to Make America Great Again. Globalists will suffer but who cares? They deserve to suffer! It will significantly improve the life of the working class patriots
Trump is the president of the United States of America. You can cry as much as you want, it won't change anything
I'm on yes and I always bet wrong, so he won't
Why you ended up being in here with 1,7k yes ?
+1
He didn't crash the market - Biden did.
Nah it was Biden