This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law or otherwise takes any formal action which aimed at creating a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment in the United States by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
this is the last disputed, right?
Howard Lutnick states on the All-in podcast that he has already sold 1000. Trump announcement imminent!
Based on my past statements, this is almost free money
Thanks for tip. I agree.
please give me something that I am in negative
what happened
'takes any formal action' is so vague and way too loosely interpretable
The word "any" is pretty clear actually, and that's why the No holders are yapping so much.
According to the US Constitution, the formulation of immigration policies and the establishment of visa categories fall within the legislative power of Congress, and the President has no authority to unilaterally create new visa types (such as "Gold Card"). Legal experts point out that if Trump attempts to bypass Congress and implement the plan through an executive order, he may be suspended by the court for unconstitutional reasons
Because the president knows it's difficult to bypass Congress, he might as well not do it or leave it for a few months when he has the energy to do it again. What do you think
According to the latest analysis by legal professionals, the implementation of the "Gold Card" plan is extremely difficult and difficult to achieve in the short term Legal aspect: Lack of congressional authorization, significant risk of unconstitutional actions; At the political level: interest groups obstruct and the differences between the two parties are difficult to reconcile; This plan may become a political propaganda tool, actually promoting EB-5 reform (such as increasing the investment amount to $1.05 million) or becoming a compromise solution. For high net worth individuals who intend to immigrate to the United States, it is recommended to pay attention to alternative pathways such as EB-1C (Executive Green Card), or plan ahead for EB-5 to avoid future policy fluctuations.
someone got information on that topic?
[link removed] tldr: they're gonna launch a gold card and putting it out in the next two weeks
2 weeks done
Trump's speech this time may have been dramatic. He once said that he would not release all hostages on Saturday to let Hamas see hell, but nothing happened on Saturday. This gold medal is probably the same, the plan fell through
Controversy over the legislative power of Congress The current EB-5 program was established by Congress in 1990 and reauthorized until September 30, 2026 in 2022. Immigration law experts generally believe that the president has no authority to unilaterally repeal congressional legislation, and imposing it may face judicial action and injunctions. For example, Jane Cao, former vice president of JPMorgan Chase, pointed out that "the power to amend immigration laws lies with Congress, and the probability of an executive order winning is extremely low. Review and operational complexity The 'Gold Card' requires the establishment of new funding supervision and review mechanisms (such as verification of the legitimacy of funding sources), while Trump only vaguely stated that 'ensuring applicants are excellent world-class citizens'. There are difficulties in improving the process in the short term, which may raise doubts about execution loopholes.
No way this could happen Im a professional analyst
yur pnl says not so
your pnl says your a bitch
yeah that's probably what profitability is called these days hehe
can someone donate me money