This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action (including executive orders, proclamations, and memoranda) that orders, directs, or enacts a comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement, made within this market’s timeframe, from the Trump Administration that a concrete policy to comprehensively ban imports and exports between the US and Spain will definitively be implemented, without such legislation or executive action, will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Such an announcement must be tied to a specific policy or set of actions being implemented; mere public statements that a ban will be implemented will not qualify. A comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain is defined as any trade ban or embargo that applies broadly to imports and exports between the US and Spain. Limited exceptions for certain categories of imports and exports will not disqualify a ban from counting, provided the ban applies generally to US-Spain imports and exports. Bans or embargoes which apply only to a limited subset of U.S.-Spain trade, or tariffs, sanctions, or other punitive trade measures which do not constitute a comprehensive ban on imports or exports between the US and Spain, will not count. A qualifying ban which is ordered, enacted, or announced within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when it is scheduled to be implemented or if it is blocked or invalidated prior to implementation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For Trump to cut off trade with Spain, he will have to cut it off with all countries that are in the EU
a) Spain is in the EU b) Trump would prefer tariffs to suspension of trade c) Even if it were possible and a preferred option, this is the most TACO market ever
He has so many tools to hurt Spain: He can declare declare Spain or some of its companies Foreign Entity of Concern (FEOC) using the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (Sección 40207) or the CHIPS Act. Moreover, he can use the NDAA (Section 889), or the Executive 13873, he can use the Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act, the Foreign Direct Product Rule (FDPR), or even use the Helms-Burton law to hurt Spanish hotels in Cuba...
You say all this without asking why on Earth would he want to do this in the first place?
cuz of polymarket i think
TRUMP: I MAY NUKE SPAIN
TRUMP ON SPAIN: THEY HAVE BEEN BAD, IT MAY CUT OFF TRADE WITH SPAIN . source Bloomberg
Trump "cuts off trade" with Spain? Cute threat, but he'll fold like always for golf trips to Marbella
All he needs is the threat you wet wipe
Even if he wants, this is technically impossible due to Spain being in a customs union, he has to cut off trade with all EU.
No sir, he can declare declare Spain or some of its companies Foreign Entity of Concern (FEOC) using the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (Sección 40207) or the CHIPS Act. Moreover, he can use the NDAA (Section 889), or the Executive 13873, he can use the Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act...
Worth a shot + he said he would cut off trade with Spain
Span is in the EU, so he legally can't cut it off
I believe Spain is the biggest Olive oil exporter to the US. I don't think they will cut off trade like that. Maybe they do some bs to fuck us up, but not too much.
retard market
Trump doesnt have balls
he said in merz meeting
TACO my friend
Partnership is based on respect, not blind obedience. Spain is on the right side of history, not on the side of a tantrum
I haven't followed the newd much but if Spain is among the few to be critical against the war... well all governments of all other countries really suck then, in dire need to be displaced.
Follow the news, Spain is not alone
Yeah and the US is the most respected country in the world, do what they say and behave lol