The 2026 State of the Union address is scheduled to take place on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump drinks from a water bottle, cup, or other vessel ostensibly containing water. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Drinks from containers such as cans with brand labelling indicating non-water contents will not qualify. Any sip take from when Trump reaches the podium to when he finishes speaking will count. Sips taken after the completion of the speech will not qualify. If the address is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on video footage of the events, or a consensus of credible reporting.
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when will this market resolve?
he won't drink because he can't hold his bladder
I mean it’s one hour long, you gotta think are the odds lower than 20% for him drink water objectively? Probably not.
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Even President Biden didn’t drink any water during his Union speeches over the past four years