This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevents Donald Trump from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Donald Trump does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by 12:01 AM ET on November 5, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Fighting,Trump.
Someone dispute as the time didn't come yet
Based on Simpsons, an accidental heart attack is never out of the picture
Agree, one last attempt could occur even if he wins the election but before the inauguration
i don't call for any violence
what was the july spike about
the assassination I guess
Two assassination attempts already and hundreds more in the making: buying yes is risky, but the future is uncertain...
low risk huge reward tbh
I agree, putting little money aside for the sake of it might pay off LOL
I think no
I use this to hedge my "yes" on trump winning election, kinda cheap now
same
yea because this is way more likely than him simply losing
how can you hedge one bet with another that has absolutely a different meaning?
Move that big order a bit higher and I'm interested
man you've still time to reverse
you don't need to do it bro, don't follow the establishment
Two assassination attempts on a dementia addled 78 year old and this is only at 4%.
Tight security, 39 days to go, and you can buy R other to win for like 0.4 cents.
This was my thought, on age alone he could easily take a quick turn for the worst. His only saving grace is that his positions were always consistent with someone who has no clue what he is talking about so dementia is hard to diagnose.
How high would R other go though. Probably less than 50%.
he does not have dementia
Oh, yeah standing on stage for 40 minutes mindlessly swaying to music instead of answering questions at a Question and Answer meeting is the sign of a healthy genius brain.
Most failures, not voluntary exits
its impossible for trump to drop out
This is an impossible event
It's impossible to happen
Yeah, no chance of the 80 year old that exclusively eats McDonalds, believes exercise will kill you, and is in the deep throws of dementia can't possibly drop dead at any moment.
@Yourworstnightmare MAGAts are consistent in hearing the opposite of what is said.
Based on the rules you've provided, if Donald Trump were to pass away before the 2024 U.S. presidential election, it would fall under the "extenuating circumstances" that prevent him from continuing his campaign. Specifically, the second rule states: "In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevents Donald Trump from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to 'Yes'." Therefore, in the unfortunate event of his death before the election, the market would indeed resolve to "Yes."
This is exactly why I picked em up cheap to hold. At his age, his downward spiral could happen without much warning any time. Honestly its a travesty that we make people work so late into life, you would think our seniors should be able to retire before they lose their dignity.
Didn't poly say they would do death markets?
5% is very little. Even if bullets can't harm DT, old age gets everyone.
6% seems really high. Don’t people start early voting soon? When are the ballots finalized and printed? I know service members overseas vote extremely early. It seems like the realistic timeline is rapidly approaching.
You are next, Trump.
If he goes to jail and withdraws, is that a "Yes"?
yes, but going to jail does not mean he will withdraw. He can still run inside of a jail or even prison
Seriously what happens if he dies?
read the rules mate
if he dies its a yes