This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on Canada by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
thank you to whoever was placing 2.2 cent bids for worthless shares long after the news broke - I enjoyed whatever game you were playing!
[link removed] this should resolve the bet.
It's a wrap: Reporter: “Is there anything China, Canada, and Mexico can do tonight to forestall your implementation of tariffs tomorrow?” Donald Trump “No. Nothing.” source: [link removed]
Let's listen to the President on Thursday [link removed]
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Canadian ministers in big push towards avoiding tariffs in washington this morning
"President Trump’s advisers are considering several offramps to avoid enacting the universal tariffs on Mexico and Canada that he had pledged, according to people familiar with the matter, even as he reiterated Thursday that the tariffs are coming."
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Does everyone have an insider in white houes but me? To me it seems 99% obvious that some kind of tariff will be put in place in 2 days... Trump wouldn't risk looking weak. We'll have tarif as we did in his first term.
i am glad people dont read resolution criteria before trading. once he signs an EO this market resolves yes, regardless of whether when it goes into effect (right away or a month later or some other criteria). rescinding the tariffs after imposing them or not letting them take effect is a much better negotiation tactic.
This shit is part of the negotiations “The meeting gives Canada a last chance to avoid tariffs tied to fentanyl and migrant crossings, as Trudeau insists Canada is not a major contributor.“
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President Donald Trump said he would follow through on his threat to impose 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico on Feb. 1
@toncar16 youre right, theres actually no way theyd place tariffs on canada, purely a leverage play. Mexico even said they really dont expect tariffs to happen, and thats mexico. canada has signficantly poured resources into border security, and ontop of that, joly said shes cautiously optimistic. read the art of the deal, specifically says to cause chaos and use leverage to get what you want.
“If they execute it, there will be no tariff, but if they don’t, then, there will be. The ordinary tariffs need to be studied and that will start, as the EO said, in APRIL“. Video here
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Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.
Just needs to be enacted, not go into effect lol. He's going to enact the tarrifs Feb 1st as promised, but will most likely postpone tariffs effect to later.
"Shut your border and end fentanyl coming into this country" "If they execute this there will be NO TARIFFS"
Canada is not going to shut the border lol
If you think he's asking Canada to close all its borders then you'll win for sure! Good luck with your bet, it seems risky to bet $900 to win $60 given the current negotiations. During his first term, despite all the threats, it took him a year to impose a tariff, not two months.
look at what you are saying, impose a tariff. he can easily enact anything without it going into effect.
Press secretary "During the briefing, she said the plan to slap Canada with punishing tariffs on Saturday is still in play, telling reporters that she spoke with the president Monday night and he indicated Feb. 1 was “still on the books” for the introduction of damaging duties against Canada and Mexico."
As per the rules, "impose any new or increased tariffs on Canada " This does NOT mean its only if he places 25% tariffs. ANY TARIFF!
I personally highly doubt we will see 25% tariffs, but the lack of any tariffs between now and end of Feb is almost nill.
Wtf? Why yes is 98%, no 18%?
Do people realize if he puts tarrifs on europe and canada he will get tarrif back and he will isolate himself? I think its very unlikely that he will do it
He is not the smartest tool in the shed.
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BREAKING: White House says Trump plans to follow through on 25% Canada, Mexico tariffs on Saturday, per CBC.