This market will resolve to "Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the popular vote in New York by 10.0% or more when compared with the second-place candidate in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in New York for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once New York has certified the vote. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Why has this not resolved yet? The answer is crystal clear. It's done.
resolve wen
13%?
Kamala won steadily.
She might lose by 12
So happy trump landslided. NY IS IN PLAY 2028 NJ TOO
$1000 FOR ME HAHAHAHAHA
YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS
1.1% people lets GOOOOO WE CAN STILL WIN
WE CAN WIN THIS!
COME ON COME ON THIS IS THE FINIAL PUSH
still possible, lets go
LETS GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
It so close
Final push and we will be rich
Now 12 points at 85%
load no. Nobody is seeing this market. I'm about to triple my position
Are you buying more?
13% gap with 82% reporting... This is gonna be so close
Ended +30
If you put into the polls to actuals from 2020 and apply them to 2024 you get the following: Harris (2024 estimated actual) = 54.27% Trump (2024 estimated actual) = 44.14%. Seems great odds for 13c especially for those thinking of a big Trump victory?
Biden voters were obviously ill informed about the Joe who'd publicly named a KKK leader as his mentor. Biden officially won NY by a lot. Still, with how bad Kamala does on camera, and the dirt being found on her whole communist-leaning family...the odd here seem to offer a great opportunity. NY a done deal, are New Yorker to just fall in line as they're supposed to and ignore current events?
KKKamala grandfather owned 100's of slaves
i think not, lets see
As a non American I do think this is the biggest value of the election. By no means a sure thing but I think true price on Trump +10% is in the range of 40-45%