This market will resolve to “Raise” if between April 9, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Donald Trump announces he will increase or impose additional tariffs on China prior to announcing he will pause, delay, remove or lower tariffs on China. This market will resolve to “Lower” if between April 9, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Donald Trump announces he will pause, delay, remove or lower tariffs on China prior to announcing he will increase or impose additional tariffs on China. If Trump does not raise or lower tariffs by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Trump announces that he will raise and lower tariffs in a single statement (“We are lowering the general tariff to 40% and adding an additional tariff on Chinese steel”), this market will resolve to 50-50. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, changes to the global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Any action which is announced within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if or when the tariffs go into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
I think what we should propose is having multiple resolvers for each market and each resolver is for a different requirement in the market. The market would only resolve Yes, if all the requirements are resolved as Yes
I think PM should first be held accountable for scamming, and a simple we are sorry will not suffice. This is not how you do business.
I mean it's a smart contract. PM has no control over it
Oh really? PM has no control over whom they choose to work with? After several cases of unfair resolutions?
Ggs
Polymarket & UMA are grifters
yes
Not specifically China, this applies global, so can't resolve based on this. "Trump's action also excludes the specified electronics from his 10% "baseline" tariffs on goods from most countries other than China, easing import costs for semiconductors from Taiwan and Apple iPhones produced in India." [link removed]
what kind of bullshit is this again, how can this resolve to "Lower", it's clearly against the rules. SCAMarket SCAMUMA
in that case you would need to dispute
Disputing
Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, changes to the global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Exemptions are not for only chinese tariffs. It's for the global reciprocal tariffs, so this is not resolvable to Lower
There are no global reciprocal tariffs
What do you think reciprocal means?
💀
bro, how did you miss that?
It means it applies to all countries not specifically china
This resolves to Lower if any of the other propose markets resolve that he removed tariffs on China, which he did (smartphones, laptops, etc.)
he added an exception for semiconductors and electronics, but globally, not just China, so at least this can't resolve just on this change.
This is 100% aimed at China, every piece of electronics comes from China. Anyone with a brain understands that
So no Taiwan or South Korea? Neither Vietnam and Malaysia?
GG : [link removed]
In my view the exemption shows trump expects general tariffs to stay in place for a while, and might even impose new targeted ones
This market will resolve to “Lower” if between April 9, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Donald Trump announces he will pause, delay, remove or lower tariffs on China prior to announcing he will increase or impose additional tariffs on [link removed] is clear that the withdrawal of some items would effectively be consistent with a reduction and would settle at Lower
[link removed]
[link removed]
Press briefing starting rn
for now
Trump has the ego of a 7 year old. He won't let them have this win. He will probably raise it by another 30% and then offer negotiations.
If you right, keep silence and buy more cheap NO, but we both know why you say that =)
gg
China announces it’s raising its tariffs against the U.S. from 84% to 125% starting tomorrow.
Shit it is now 145%!!!!!!!!!
this market is gonna close
This is a Trump quote from yesterday's announcement: " I am hereby raising the Tariff charged to China by the United States of America to 125%, effective immediately." Notice he refers to the total general tariff being charged at 125%. Now today the White House comes out and clarifies that it is actually 145%. Stocks tumble and its reported by every outlet. Clearly this is breaking news from yesterday
Then go buy the market I linked, price is 13c
I appreciate you putting your money where your mouth is lol, now lets see who loses their money.
Go read the rules, if you think this market should be resolved already you are betting in the wrong place. If you have a longer term view that is fine.
https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-increase-tariffs-on-china-by-friday?tid=1744304890020 This market would have to resolve YES as well, same rules regarding "Donald Trump announces he will increase or impose additional tariffs"
No new announcement of lowering or raising tariff was made. Yesterday they said that the tariff will now total a 125% and they recently clarified that that's on top of the old 20% tariff, hence 145%. No new announcement about tariff change was made.
No i rather tell the truth and don't let retarted shape a distorted version of facts and possibly resolve the market
I honestly very skeptical of the resolution system here. On sunday night they fucked me up on the travel ban market because they resolved on yes on the only fact that a ban on south sudan was imposed. The rules stated the ban should have been on countrieS, plural. None disputed the shit. Aescrew ofc was an holder
GG, the tariffs are now at least 145%
It's because they clarified that it was on top of the old 20% justified by fentanyl
125+20
Right, so this qualifies as an announcement, does it not?
No they did not announce new tariff, they clarified the context of what they announced yesterday