On April 2, Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff on all imports set to take effect on April 5, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which pauses, delays, or removes the 10% general tariff by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Actions which remove the general 10% tariff will qualify even if there are item specific exceptions for which the tariff still applies. However, lowering the general tariff below 10% without removing it will not qualify. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Effective since April 5, 2025. Courts ruled it illegal in August, but it stayed in place during the SCOTUS appeal. No signs of removal before the 2026 Midterms. If anything, he's threatening to hike it to 15%.
I doubt it, tariffs are a key part of his trade strategy and unlikely to be lifted that quickly in 2025.
How does this resolve if tariff framework is replaced but the 10% baseline is kept?
Right now this seems very unlikely to happen.
Dude likes his tariffs.
0 chance of this happening