On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Canada (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which removes the 25% general tariff on Canada by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Actions which remove the general 25% tariff will qualify even if there are item specific exceptions for which the tariff still applies. However, lowering the general tariff below 25% without removing it will not qualify. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Resolves to NO already right?
New market no is highly underrated!! https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-remove-blanket-tariff-on-canada-before-may/will-trump-remove-blanket-tariff-on-canada-before-may
seven days left
It should be impossible to cancel
Oh - y'all thought Trump was going to cave??
thanks trump for crashing the market even more.....
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ouch.
rules are set for a big messy resolution, well done PM
How?
Delay for 30 days feb only 28
Canadian gov will want an answer prior to the end of the 30 day pause. As the Canadian gov. will accept Trumps demands, Tariffs will likely be retracted within the next 30 days.
Keep in mind that february ends before the 30 day period. This will resolve to "no" even if the tariffs are lifted at the last moment.
Yes but im predicting the Canadian and US gov won't wait until the end of the pause to come to an agreement.
"If, prior to a tariff's implementation, the date in which it goes into effect is pushed back to a specified date, it will not count as that tariff's removal" No side win
An indefinite delay/suspension of a tariff's implementation before it has gone into effect, or any suspension (regardless of whether it is temporary) after a tariff has gone into effect, will qualify as a removal.
it is definite. This clarify is good for N… its a 30 delay
shit ur right
they added this rule earlier for mexico precisely to say that it didn't count.
30 days for now, but likely will postponed indefinetely, question if before march they will meet again..h..
Yes price will continue plummeting as long as no other news come out
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"Donald Trump has agreed to pause tariffs on Mexico and Canada for 30 days following the countries’ pledge to boost border enforcement."
JUST IN: Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau says tariffs are paused after a discussion with President Trump. @WatcherGuru
Canada's tariff's frozen for 30 days, trump backed down
That's not accurate, they paused the tariffs basically delaying them. The Executive order is still signed and in effect. If anything Canada caved, just like Mexico and finally deciding to secure their border.
not enough to satisfy the market
by caving, you mean doing the thing we already promised to do before the EO?
looks weak imho. Gonna buy more yes
Time it right, price is fluctuating right now, best of luck 👍🏻 💰 🤑 💸
Freezing the tariff plan, just like Mexico. As such, this market will go to No as it is frozen out from extraneous political forces
unless u know they say something like "indefinetely" in which case you lose everything in about 5 seconds
Thankfully i can read and they clearly agreed to a 30 day respite.
does that mean they can't meet again in those 30 days and say tariffs are suspended indefinetely lol
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trump has a security border report coming in mid April,this is when hell remove the tariff,not in march(march will be delayed only)sorry yes holders.
Trump's executive action says a report on U.S. trade and border security with Canada isn't due until April.
So, if Trump will push tariff implementation up to 1st of April, is it yes or no?
No
This market is highly undervalued. Very unlikely Trump removes the Tariffs within 90 days of enacting them: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-remove-blanket-tariff-on-canada-before-may/will-trump-remove-blanket-tariff-on-canada-before-may?tid=1738604265541
delay is enough
I don't know what to make of this market anymore.