This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that explicitly eliminates federal income taxes for individuals earning less than $150,000 per year in the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Legislation which includes specific exceptions where federal income tax remains applicable for specified groups (whether by income, occupation, or other criteria) will still qualify, as long as the primary outcome of the law is the removal of federal income tax for individuals earning under $150,000. Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g., he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
It sounds good on the campaign trail, but removing income tax for that many people would create a trillion-dollar hole in the budget. Congress won't pass that without a new, huge consumption tax to pay for it.
Beware of the scammers https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-lower-tariffs-on-china-in-april
This is about as likely as the US goverment confirming the existance of Aliens. Lol