Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

What is trump re-signing? Why would something need his signature twice? I'm going to buy NO because typically presidents only sign a document one time, and signing it another time does not give it any more power. In fact, I challenge you to find me ANY document signed by Trump twice. You guys that think another signature matters legally are going to make me so rich!!!!

I have made a grave mistake

roflmao nice glgl

if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency what if he says he will resign but he's not resigning?

"For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market."

Then what if he actually resigns, but doesn't announce it? If he just signs his resignation paper and goes off to the golf course, and leaves it to others to tell the world?

What if trump says somehting like «i will resign IF (xyc) happens». ?

Obviously not.

jeeez 7%, whilst the market Trump out as President by March 31? is down to 5%

? Out by any means before end of March versus resign during the year. That's two very different markets. This market here only goes to yes if he resign. Any other means of leaving office is a no as per the rules

He is more likely to be hit by an asteroid than to willingly resign

LOL

So if he dies or is kicked out it's not a win? Is that correct?

Correct. As per rules that would be an immediate No. There are other markets such as Out of presidency which include death and being "kicked out"

Change the fucking name for this market

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Welcome to PM

seems clear enough to me, whats the actual problem here?

trump can resign withouth specifically taking those words into his mouth, making this will trump resign market resolve to no when trump literally resigns

It's more profitable than American bonds, and I think even safer.

Funnily you are completely right

I don't see a world where he willingly resigns, to be honest. If anything, he is more likely to be assasinated or die of natural causes. The only people voting 'yes' probably didn't even read the rules. Someone pls correct me if I am mistaken

Its kinda smart to resign if the things related to Epstein become more plausible, and his sickness would be a good excuse, in that way, you don't affect the market sentiment

Does death count as a resignation?

No. "If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."".

This market is stupid. It doesn't matter if Trump is doing bad in polls, politics, policy or policing. So this market basically sets a 9% chance for a health event that is SO bad that he will resign. Biden got in the first stage of dementia/parkinson (whatever it is) and didn't resign. American presidents don't resign. They reign or they die.

I guess Richard Nixon is a figment of my imagination then

Trump is not Richard Nixon. Because he does not abide by the impeachment process. Republicans have learned from the Nixon impeachment. And when do American senates every reach a 2/3rd majority for anything. That would require a lot of defectors.

Impeachment? Just don't resign. He still has to resign himself. It's like asking a corrupt judge to put himself in jail. Won't happen.