This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump golfs on over 25% of days between January 20 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to https://trumpgolftrack.com as of January 2, 2026, 12:00 PM. However, definitive photo or video evidence confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to supplement the tally if the trumpgolftrack.com tally is incomplete.
Why did this market resolve 2 days early?
And when half of the world was sleeping or drunk
Or both (I was)
easy no, thanks guys
"Credible sources demonstrating Trump's presence on a golf course, in a golf outfit, or similar instances that do not include definite and uncontroversial photo or video evidence of him actually playing golf on a certain date will not be considered."
what a shitshow... again. If sufficient sources confirm it, why would it not count?
additional context just killed it for nothing although he reached 25%. There are enough sources to prove him playing for 88 days as of today. Another 9 days are unsure. Easy above 25% and he'll probably play again today...
20: timesargus .com/ news/national/trump/image_8d37ff1b-f9ef-5029-8a81-0376f551db6a .html 21: rutlandherald .com /ap/national/trump/image_61f73e4a-36ab-5877-9d47-cccb79dea34b .html
Trumpgolftrack admin prob updating his page tomorrow
Right, he was waiting for the Yes to drop so he can buy cheap. If it happens, we will need to create the PolyInsider awards 2026
meidasnews .com /news/trump-visits-golf-club-for-10th-time-in-11-days
photos and videos, which some might think aren't available (or are being kept silent) for the entire period starting from September. However, journalists covering Trump do publish photos on their Twitter accounts, so evidence does exist. What we need to verify here is whether Trump reaches 87 days.
so.. we have to.. make a Polymarket and UMA's work, for them, in just 1 day?
The process is simple. You can propose YES, if someones dispute it, you can re-propose the YES, or Dispute it if someone propose NO. Once the proposal had been dispute twice. People need to go to Discord and present their cases. UMA will vote accordingly, base on the discussion from Discord. You will $750 per proposal or dispute. So I'm not sure there is someone involved enough to do it. The results will came up 3 days latter and none willl be able to cash their money until the vote is completed
Asking for photo evidence when there are barely any days when he was photographed when golfing this year (probably less than 30) and no single tracker has photo evidence makes no sense.
- here is the source and this market will resolve according to it - source stops working - oh, and we forgot to mention that ONLY photo/video will be considered! SUCH AN A*S*HO**S I JUST CAN'T BEAR IT ANYMOOORRREEEEEE (and wish that someone will sue them for such shit someday)
I think some day there will be a market "Is Malevich Square black or white", everyone will bet "black", then some context added, as usual, then UMA will vote 99.84% that it's white
06/07/2025 05/31/2025 05/10/2025 and so on, trumpgolftrack refers to rollcall with no photo and THE RULES count that as definitive evidence, right? so why that context appeared? why it's not written that ONLY photos/vids are taken into consideration??
oh, some UMAdditional context appeared, ok
Hideous contract writing. Pool reports should be sufficient to answer this question, yet if the rules are strictly applied, this is an N bond.
The Market rules were created 1 year ago, when the site was actively reporting. They stoped updating the log in June. It would had been nice that Poly added a comment to this market 6 month ago to to avoid all the crap. I'm out, but he had golf more than 25% already
Rarely seen a comment section put this much effort into not reading the rules.
However, definitive photo or video evidence confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to supplement the tally if the [link removed] tally is incomplete. - so what's wrong with this??
you're not going to find photo / video evidence for the 58 days needed not on trump golf track
exactly!!
that site in rules was reffering to rollcall and istrumpgolfing is reffering to it, so what's the difference?
[link removed] Showing 26% golfing days, with links on each days. December is still not up to date
you can write the linked site in the bet: Are we missing a day? Send news articles or posts to team@[link removed]
I have the data and just sent it... Did anyone already try to contact them and get a response?
its over guys, no website are quoting him above 23%, only 2 days remaining
Most of them stopped reporting/updating, that why is now lower than 25% but he already golf over the threshold. Like [link removed] stopped reporting in November. And he was 79 days. With just 7 days remaining in December. Like the post below, he already golfed 7 days :) .... But yes, this resolution willl be nasty again with some clarification comming from Poly on Jan 1st after the dispute
He went golfing 7 days in December 20-24 and 26-27 with coming 30-31 likely to be golf days. Sources with 27 to be added to UCSB soon: [link removed].edu/documents/app-categories/pool-reports and [link removed]
Roll Call ignores casual rounds, reporting only if the trip is politically significant. The American Presidency Project (UCSB) captures every visit because it archives raw logs from journalists physically in the motorcade, documenting movements regardless of news value. [link removed] This account is relevant because it is the real-time feed of the data that eventually ends up on The American Presidency Project (UCSB). [link removed].edu/documents/app-categories/pool-reports
Why are you talking about Roll Call? Resolution is based on [link removed] or photo/video evidence.
Many trackers use Roll Call data, as for the photo/video evidence there isn't any tracker that has that for every day.
Yeah
Did you read the rules, aren't you?
no golf on roll call since Thursday, game over guys
good luck!
Official Pool Reports show Trump hit his Golf Club multiple days in December, like arriving at Trump International Golf Club and staying hours. [link removed] Wikipedia says Trump is visiting Mar-A-Lago for Christmas and New Years. On December 20-24, he played golf at Trump International Golf Club. [link removed] [link removed] needs like 2-3 more days and [link removed] is already over 25%.
26th December: The motorcade arrived at Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach at 9:22am. [link removed]
"However, definitive photo or video evidence confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting may also be used." Where do you have the photos?
I'm sure he is visiting the Golf Club just to look at the grass.
27th December: The motorcade arrived at Trump International Golf Club at 9:21am. [link removed]
Doesn't matter, in what are you sure. It depends on market rules...
pessimistic that this gets resolved via a random third party website given all of them (e.g. [link removed]) are also reporting different numbers. I took all the golf entries from rollcall, filtered out entries after sunset and saw a count of 77 with 10 days left in the year. So he needs to golf all of the remaining days to make it count. And that's assuming a visit to the golf course counts as "playing golf" since he could just be using it as a clubhouse. Either way, don't see a way that enough photographic evidence to supplement the listed source.
The source listed in the rules was also using rollcall numbers to find the count. It is definitely a stretch.
who cares about rules here? ;-)))))
Yeah I'll give it a no chance in hell