This market will resolve to "Yes” if Donald Trump wins the popular vote in Florida in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 8.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in Florida for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Florida has certified the vote. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
I believe Trump will win Florida.
Hey, pay out already!
why hasnt this settled?
White lefties so mad ahahaha
When Nate released that 50/50 sim, that was your time to get out
Lets gooo
8 lead alrady, panhandle will btfo her
lol, Nate Silver got cucked here
What happened ?
You got raped by american patriots
[link removed]
[link removed] 10,6%pp and growring
The MAGA-King tried to warn you.
Iowa poll affects Florida. Yeah makes totally sense.
I mean it probably doesn't but these odds are still way too bullish for Trump. At the very least the favorite should be No here
Why?
Polls say differently but I agree with you
Oh God, im down 50K today it hurts so bad
I queued 57c, you'll need to fill me. I'm an addict and I can't get enough
I just hope this gets to 99.9 quickly on election night
Same
Republicans lead early voting by 11.3% today!
OMG no way! That's insane!!! How is this only trading at 63c???
There's that general trend where Kamala's shares are going up. But if we watch Florida spesifically, the new numbers look even better than anyone expected. Better numbers when this market was 70c. But sure 63% still means people think this will happen more likely than not
The chud markets are healing
All your money are belong to MAGA King
538 has trump up 6.6 so this looks like a good wager on no.
Nature is healing across this site. Glad to see it’s going back to reality.