If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
That requires agreement from all member countries, a low chance that Hungary and Slovakia will agree, not to mention other requirements and the lengthy process. Sorry :(
This market might as well be titled ‘Will Ukraine start WW3 before July?’ Meanwhile, Polymarket’s team is probably debating if a polite NATO email counts as formal membership. Honestly, their definition of ‘resolution criteria’ is always a fun read: [link removed]
I'm sorry but how anyone would justify buying 7k shares of "Yes"? You have free money or what?
I have a feeling it will be a condition for whatever rump state results from a spring peace treaty.
you are very very wrong. No way NATO accepts Ukraine in next 10 years at least, and even then it's unlikely
could be mistake
Join NATO = 3rd world war. If yoj bet yes, your money will worth nothing.
bs
Not a chance in hell unless the Russians get invited too. That won't happen either