December 31$108K Vol.
June 30$731K Vol.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will will be considered captured if any part of Crimea shaded blue on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The border around Crimea shaded in black on the ISW map will not qualify. Once Ukraine captures territory in Crimea, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Ukraine comes into control of territory in Crimea as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
@RiseFromTheAshes if you have even 1 brain cell, sell all of the Yes shares now
Schizo TSYBKA can't predict anything. All he does is buys NO in hopes that NOTHING EVER HAPPENS. Then he farms his followers by selling after he makes X post. He is truly a parasite.
Buy Y dumbfuq
спасибо ватникам, ура патриотам и полезным идиотам из запада за мои будущие х6. Без массовой мобилизации удержание Крыма невозможно, с массовой мобилизацией очень высокий политический риск. Одно дело когда ты у себя сидишь в условном Усть Урюпинске и поливаешь грязью ВСУ, другое дело когда тебе приходит повестка и ты понимаешь что тебе осталось жить 2 недели до момента когда к тебе прилетит дрон в голову.
хахахаха западенец
Westerner useful idiot here, you're welcome
Чел ты живешь в выдуманном мире, включи голову.
Yes is still overpriced but its not impossible
Russian is retreating in Kherson towards Crimea, not fuel and all supply trucks and trains are being destroyed. Rich from Moscow stuck in Crimea because there's no gas. its going to get dicey for Putin.
-2k pnl talking
Buying no is a win win
never, even Ukraine as a nation state will fall down eventually
Я бы поставил сотку, но несколько процентов за 4 месяца не очень. Крым есть и будет с Россией.
Bet on this or bet on Jesus' return? I'll choose Jesus.
easy soon
No. Way too protected by Russia. They are stuck at the border.
Hmmm. ISW's recent Myrnohrad-gate means this isn't quite as safe as I'd assumed :D .
Using DeepStateUA as a backup is fucking wild lmao.
Lol
lmao, nope
lol
Can pigs fly?
This ain't happening twin
Lol, what kind of drugs does the guy who created this market take?
free money. Thanks to this dude
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