On January 19, Elon Musk tweeted "the current situation where TikTok is allowed to operate in America, but 𝕏 is not allowed to operate in China is unbalanced" (see: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1880975630646612254?s=46&t=Hs7p1TPQxYmmgC2MAl-H9A). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the People's Republic of China announces X/Twitter will be unbanned or if X/Twitter becomes available for use by the majority of people in the People's Republic of China by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the government of the People's Republic of China announcing that X will be unbanned will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when X becomes available for use. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People's Republic of China and X/Twitter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Musk has no time to worry about x being listed in China.
[link removed].cn/nw12344/20250116/[link removed] lol some of yall should read this. Do I think that unbanning X is possible? Definitely cuz China already gave their stance on it. If Elon is willing to comply with CCP policies then the chance of it happening is actually not low at all. If you translate the website, it is an officla announcement from the Shanghai government pushing for 'unrestricted' internet access for finance districts and schools.
As a Chinese, free money here
Absolutely free money, but you can earn a lot more from other bond markets
i dont know the meaning
free money
NO WAY NO WAY NO WAY. WHY WOULD THIS EVEN HAPPEN?
Even if the ban is lifted, they will not issue an announcement. This is real free money.
Obvious no,but 8% profit for more than 3 month makes this no sense.
Real probability may around 1%-2%.
0% for sure
China may announce that it will allow X to operate, but there will be many unrealistic preconditions. It is very possible to resolve to YES in this market. Because YES does not require X to actually operate in [link removed]'s why 1%-2%
If there will be unrealistic preconditions, the government won't make such announcement. The spokesman of the Foreign Ministry made that very clear the day
But what you said make sense, still about 1% around haha
This is totally impossible , free money for "NO"
not saying you're wrong, but put your money where your mouth's at
Unfortunately you need a lot of $ to make some good numbers here