This market will resolve to "Yes" if X relaunches Vine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Relaunching Vine" is defined as launching a platform and/or feature that performs similar functions to Vine, and is branded as a "relaunch of Vine" by Elon Musk or X itself. Note - the relaunch must be live and broadly accessible to the public before the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be the Vine platform, as well as official information from Elon Musk and X, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Bring back the 6-second loop! TikTok is too complicated and corporate. Vine was pure, chaotic, funny gold. Elon needs a massive nostalgia hit to get the user base back. It will be called "X Loops," but it will be Vine.
This followed a lot of speculation and polls since he took over the company. The Twist: He specified it would be returning "in AI form."
Sell your yes shares while you can.
Greetings
[link removed]
I love that it’s “being considered”, that means it’s still not the Vine relaunch
"Relaunching Vine" is defined as launching a platform and/or feature that performs similar functions to Vine, and is branded as a "relaunch of Vine" by Elon Musk or X itself.
Elon Musk statements (e.g., [link removed] [link removed] are not enough to indicate that this is "branded as a relaunch of Vine."
Polymarket is Dead for me
Also your edit comment button doesn''t work you stupid fucks
Couldn't even see delete button earlier, the three dot menu didn't work
they murdered Tupac for the second time 😭😭
Perfect clarification
But not that much activity. Yet.
lol, where is the vine? url?
This is NOTHING like the original Vine. Vine was a Tiktok-like platform with HUMAN generated content. Also, Elon only loosely called it "AI Vine" to market it to people. The product is not even close to being named Vine. This should go P4 IMO
the content is generated by HUMAN with prompts
This'll be interesting
I've just re-proposed. 1) A feature that performs similar function to Vine has been launched, check. 2) Elon called it "AI Vine," check. 3) It is now broadly accessible to paid subscribers of Grok, check. 4) Since there's no platform given that it was relaunched as a feature, the resolution source becomes Elon Musk and X, which is done, check. If someone wants to dispute, go ahead, I'll gladly cash in $250 from a dispute.
Even the Vine founder tweeted that it is branded as both Imagine and Vine. I cannot paste the link for some reason. But check replies from Rus on X.
Can some one propose?
I am happy to take the $250. I've just re-proposed.
Why was it proposed? Is “Imagine” open to the public yet?
Available to premium+ and SuperGrok users
I agree w/this, pay wall isn't widely available similiar to the original Vine
who proposed ts 😂
No way this can reasonably considered a relaunch of vine. It is at most a replacement for vine.
I agree. Resolving to Y as this point would really go against the spirit of the market IMO
johnnyA You got caught in a trap selling your shares
Wish you guys had expressed your support earlier. Still willing to dispute if I think it’s justified
Friend, when you place a bet, the best thing to do is not to obsess over it. The reasons for saying “No” are much more valid. Betting on “Yes” is pure gambling.
Pretty clear the new product is in the spirit of Vine, which aligns with the market rules
Disagree, don’t think most classic Vine users would agree this new product is the same thing. However if they add functionality that makes it possible to create videos that are similar to Vine posts (search “vine compilation” on YouTube to get an idea), I will not dispute
Gonna have to disagree again, just looking at the ruleset, a lot of how this market will resolve is based on Musk's opinion of the product's launch and how he views it as the relaunch of Vine or to quote him "Grok Imagine is AI Vine!"
Ofc,it's already been somewhat there
You should propose now then
Sorry yes bros, there’s no way what’s currently shown would get through a UMA dispute. All the samples are just AI generated slop videos, nothing to do with the camera. Not to mention it’s being called “Imagine”, not Vine
The owner of the company literally said they are bringing back Vine :D What else do you need? By the way rules has no mention of cameras [link removed]
Notice the “and” (not “or”) in the rules before the clause about branding, very important. Doesn’t matter what Elon says if they end up releasing something completely different from Vine. Not going to argue anymore here though, going to save it for the UMA dispute.