PoliticsMarkets
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
$102,534 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Yes$103K Vol.2%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
这么弱鸡的赌盘😵💫
whats wrong with this?
Has there even been a rumour about that lol?
好荒谬的市场
worth a shot
一点都不值得
Just a heads up: buying NO at ~98.6% means tying up your money for about a year to make roughly 1% if you’re right. You can earn several times that with risk-free options like Treasuries. Fine as a belief bet, but not a great way to grow money.
you have a bet out to march 2027 bro, not much to gain there
lol you're right I thought it was 2026, fair cop
Profit if you win: 1.4%. Takes 11 months to resolve. Inflation rate over that time is 6%. That's a net loss of 4.6% even if you win. Terrible hold for no holders. You can make much more with less risk on bonds.
this market is a bad bet, you lose money 7% to inflation and gain 1% (if you win)
for example, a US bond, which is entirely risk-free dollar wise, will earn you 4.8% over the year.
if you buy a US 1-year bond, you receive 4.8% at the end of the year, if you buy this market at 'NO', you earn at max 2.3%, if you invest in the stock market, returns of 10%+ are entirely normal, in short; everyone holding NO is losing money and they should sell. I agree Xi will not divorce, but you'll still lose money on this market in purchasing power
is-the-publisher-has-the-best-sense-of-humor-in-the-world would be better
?
will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027 is better
no